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<\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7684Michael McMahon<\/span>\u3001Alfred Schipke <\/span>\u548cXiang Li<\/span>\u5728\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6c9f\u901a\u2014\u2014<\/span>\u6846\u67b6\u3001\u6548\u679c\u548c\u5efa\u8bae\u300b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8bba\u6587\uff08IMF Working Paper WP 18\/244<\/span>\uff09\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u6c9f\u901a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u63d0\u9ad8\u53ca\u5176\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5411\u4ee5\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u4e3b\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u8f6c\u578b\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u66f4\u52a0\u91cd\u89c6\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u6c9f\u901a\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002\u8be5\u6587\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u9ad8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6c9f\u901a\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u5145\u5206\u7684\u4e2d\u82f1\u6587\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5f3a\u5316\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6295\u5165\u548c\u80fd\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u5b9a\u671f\u516c\u5e03\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5e76\u5b9a\u671f\u4e3e\u529e\u5a92\u4f53\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5efa\u8bae\u4e0e\u7b14\u8005\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u662f\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/span> 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