{"id":251394,"date":"2021-09-10T19:07:44","date_gmt":"2021-09-10T11:07:44","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/m.catawbaoil.com\/251394.html"},"modified":"2021-09-10T19:07:44","modified_gmt":"2021-09-10T11:07:44","slug":"%e5%b4%94%e5%8e%86%ef%bc%9a%e6%b5%81%e5%8a%a8%e6%80%a7%e6%8b%90%e7%82%b9%e5%88%9d%e7%8e%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"\/\/m.catawbaoil.com\/251394.html","title":{"rendered":"\u5d14\u5386\uff1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u62d0\u70b9\u521d\u73b0"},"content":{"rendered":"
\u5b8f\u89c2\u89c6\u91ce<\/strong><\/span>: 2021<\/strong><\/span>\u5b8f\u89c2\u534a\u5e74\u5ea6\u5c55\u671b<\/strong><\/span>: <\/strong><\/span>\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u62d0\u70b9\u521d\u73b0<\/strong><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u62a5\u544a\u76ee\u5f55<\/strong><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 1. <\/span>\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u9700\u6c42\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u8d70\u9ad8<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 2. <\/span>\u4e2d\u56fd\uff1a\u590d\u82cf\u6b65\u4f10\u6e10\u8d8b\u5e38\u6001\u6d88\u8d39\u9700\u6c42\u6301\u7eed\u590d\u82cf<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 3. <\/span>\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5468\u671f\u548c\u518d\u901a\u80c0\u652f\u6301\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u76c8\u5229\u548c\u6269\u5f20<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 4. <\/span>\u7eff\u8272\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a0\u901f\u4e0a\u6e38\u884c\u4e1a\u8f6c\u578b\uff0c\u4f9b\u7ed9\u6536\u7d27\u652f\u6301\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 5. <\/span>\u51fa\u53e3\u9884\u8ba1\u4fdd\u6301\u575a\u633a\uff0c\u4f9b\u7ed9\u9762\u51b2\u51fb\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u98ce\u9669<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 6. <\/span>\u6d88\u8d39\u6301\u7eed\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u7ebf\u4e0b\u6d88\u8d39\u4ecd\u53d7\u75ab\u60c5\u5236\u7ea6<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 7. <\/span>\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6295\u8d44\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u5230\u653f\u7b56\u6291\u5236<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 8. <\/span>\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f34\u968f\u5468\u671f\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c<\/span>CPI<\/span>\u8fdb\u5165\u4e0a\u5347\u671f<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 9. <\/span>\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff1a\u7b49\u5f85\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u62d0\u70b9<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 10. <\/span>\u5730\u65b9\u503a\u52a1\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e2a\u4f53\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u5b58<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 11. <\/span>\u5168\u7403\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u6536\u7d27\uff1a\u901a\u80c0\u5c45\u9ad8\uff0c\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u8f6c\u5411\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u957f\u503a\u5229\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4e0a\u884c<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 12. <\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\u52a0\u5927<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n 13. <\/span>\u4e2d\u8d44\u7f8e\u5143\u503a<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u4e3b\u8981\u89c2\u70b9\u548c\u56fe\u8868\u6458\u9009<\/span>(<\/span>\u5b8c\u6574\u7248\u672c\u8bf7\u6309\u6587\u672b\u94fe\u63a5<\/span>):<\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u5168\u7403\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57fa\u672c\u9762<\/strong><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9700\u6c42\u590d\u82cf\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u77ed\u7f3a\u548c\u75ab\u60c5\u53d8\u79cd\u662f\u6269\u5f20\u4e3b\u8981\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5168\u7403\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u7387\u5feb\u901f\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c24\u4e3a\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u7f8e\u6b27\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fdb\u5165\u590d\u82cf\u671f\u3002\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u5ef6\u7eed\u575a\u633a\uff08\u56fe<\/span>2<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u75ab\u60c5\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u9762\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u8f83\u4e3a\u77ed\u6682\u3002\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6<\/span>GDP<\/span>\u9884\u8ba1\u540c\u6bd4\u5927\u5e45\u8f6c\u6b63\uff0c<\/span>IMF<\/span>\u4f30\u7b97\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u62b9\u53bb\u4ea7\u51fa\u7f3a\u53e3<\/span>[1] <\/span>\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u590d\u82cf\u6b65\u4f10\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u6027\u652f\u51fa\u6bd4\u4f8b\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7ef4\u6301\u575a\u633a\uff0c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f9b\u7ed9\u74f6\u9888\u5bfc\u81f4\u82af\u7247\u548c\u90e8\u5206\u5546\u54c1\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u63a8\u5347\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\u3002\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u5f3a\u529b\u53cd\u5f39\u548c\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u822a\u8fd0\u548c\u6e2f\u53e3\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u7a81\u7834<\/span>10<\/span>\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u4e2d\u56fd\u6269\u5f20\u6b65\u4f10\u4f01\u7a33\u3002\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u548c\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u540e\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6269\u5f20\u6b65\u4f10\u8d8b\u5411\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u7684\u5e38\u6001\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u3001\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5347\u7ea7\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u590d\u82cf\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\u3002\u6d88\u8d39\u6301\u7eed\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u597d\u8f6c\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u6b65\u4f10\u4ecd\u53d7\u75ab\u60c5\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u6709\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u7740\u91cd\u7ba1\u63a7\u91d1\u878d\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5730\u4ea7\u6d3b\u52a8\u5c0f\u5e45\u964d\u6e29\uff0c\u5b8f\u89c2\u6760\u6746\u7387\u56de\u843d\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u56fd\u5185\u4fe1\u7528\u5468\u671f\u6301\u7eed\u56de\u843d\uff08\u56fe<\/span>7<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5468\u671f\u6761\u4ef6\u5411\u597d\uff0c\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e<\/span>(<\/span>\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u3001\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u7b49<\/span>)<\/span>\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u4e0a\u6e38\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u5747\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347<\/span>(<\/span>\u56fe<\/span>9)<\/span>\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4fe1\u7528\u6269\u5f20\u5e76\u975e\u652f\u6301\u5b9e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5347\u7ea7\u5e26\u52a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u4fee\u590d\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u575a\u633a\u4ecd\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u589e\u91cf\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u4fa7\u91cd\u9632\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u57fa\u5efa\u548c\u5730\u4ea7\u9884\u8ba1\u56de\u843d\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e0e\u5468\u671f\u56de\u6696\u65b9\u5411\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u5229\u6da6\u56de\u5347\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u56fd\u9645\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u683c\u53e0\u52a0\u56fd\u5185\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b\u548c\u4f9b\u5e94\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5bf9\u56fd\u5185\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u6709\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4e0a\u4fee<\/span>PPI<\/span>\u9884\u6d4b\u81f3<\/span>6.5%<\/span>\u3002\u4e0a\u6e38\u4ef7\u683c\u867d\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e0b\u6e38\u884c\u4e1a\u9020\u6210\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u53d7\u9700\u6c42\u56de\u6696\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4e0b\u6e38\u4f01\u4e1a\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u5728\u6210\u672c\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u53cd\u800c\u8d70\u9ad8\uff08\u56fe<\/span>28<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e<\/span>2015-2017<\/span>\u5e74\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4fa7\u6539\u9769\u538b\u4f4e\u4e0b\u6e38\u5229\u6da6\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u663e\u793a\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u9ad8\u66f4\u591a\u4f34\u968f\u9700\u6c42\u9762\u7684\u4fee\u590d\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u4f9b\u7ed9\u9762\u98ce\u9669\u6301\u7eed\uff1a\u5e74\u5185\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u98ce\u9669\u4e00\u662f\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8513\u5ef6\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u65b0\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d8\u79cd\u5bf9\u75ab\u82d7\u53cd\u5e94\u4e0d\u53ca\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u82af\u7247\u4f9b\u5e94\u77ed\u7f3a\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u4e1a\u548c\u6c7d\u8f66\u7b49\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u5907\u6ce8\uff1a\uff3b<\/span>1<\/span>\uff3d\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u300b\uff0c<\/span>2021<\/span>\u5e74<\/span>4<\/span>\u6708<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u6d77\u5916\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3001\u548c\u6c47\u7387\u8d70\u52bf<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8f6c\u9e70\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u8fb9\u9645\u6536\u7d27\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u6c47\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\u52a0\u5927\uff1a<\/span>6<\/span>\u6708\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8054\u50a8\u63d0\u9ad8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u63d0\u793a\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u8003\u8651\u7f29\u51cf<\/span>QE<\/span>\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u60c5\u5f62\u662f\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fbe\u5230\u7fa4\u4f53\u514d\u75ab\u540e\u516c\u5e03<\/span>QE<\/span>\u7f29\u51cf\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\uff0c\u5e76\u4e8e<\/span>2022<\/span>\u5e74\u6b63\u5f0f\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf<\/span>QE<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>2023<\/span>\u5e74\u8fdb\u5165\u52a0\u606f\u901a\u9053\u3002\u5728\u5468\u671f\u7ee7\u7eed\u56de\u6696\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u7ef4\u6301\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u8054\u50a8\u5f00\u542f\u7f29\u51cf<\/span>QE<\/span>\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u5b9e\u9645\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\u4f4d\u56de\u5347\uff08\u56fe<\/span>38<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8\u957f\u671f\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u884c\uff08\u53c2\u89c1\uff1a\u6d77\u5916\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u52bf\u53ca\u5f71\u54cd<\/span> <\/span>\uff0c<\/span>2021<\/span>\u5e74<\/span>5<\/span>\u6708\uff09\u3002\u4fdd\u6301\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\u7f8e\u503a<\/span>10<\/span>\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u4e0a\u81f3<\/span>1.9%<\/span>\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u884c\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u8054\u50a8\u91ca\u653e\u9e70\u6d3e\u4fe1\u53f7\u540e\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u8ba1\u4f20\u8fbe\u6536\u7d27\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u9636\u6bb5\u6027\u53cd\u5f39\u52a0\u5927\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u968f\u8054\u50a8\u8f6c\u9e70\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6b27\u592e\u884c\uff09\u4fdd\u6301\u9e3d\u6d3e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u5dee\u53ef\u80fd\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u6709\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53cd\u5f39\u53ef\u80fd\uff08\u56fe<\/span>39<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5bf9\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u548c\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5f62\u6210\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n <\/span> <\/p>\n \u4fdd\u6301\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u5347\u503c\u8d8b\u7f13\uff0c\u53cc\u5411\u6ce2\u52a8\u52a0\u5927\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u8de8\u5883\u8d44\u91d1\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u52a0\u901f\u5347\u503c\u3002<\/span>5<\/span>\u6708\u5e95\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u5916\u6c47\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u7531\u73b0\u884c\u7684<\/span>5%<\/span>\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230<\/span>7%<\/span>\u3002\u63d0\u9ad8\u5916\u5e01\u5b58\u51c6\u7387\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u610f\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u63d0\u9ad8\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u5916\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u5916\u5e01\u8d37\u6b3e\uff08\u56fe<\/span>40<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u5c11\u5883\u5185\u975e\u94f6\u884c\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u7a7a\u5934\u5934\u5bf8\u548c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u5f15\u5bfc\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u5e02\u573a\u5355\u5411\u9884\u671f\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/span><\/span> 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