{"id":251099,"date":"2021-08-29T13:23:59","date_gmt":"2021-08-29T05:23:59","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/m.catawbaoil.com\/251099.html"},"modified":"2021-08-29T13:23:59","modified_gmt":"2021-08-29T05:23:59","slug":"%e9%82%a2%e8%87%aa%e5%bc%ba%ef%bc%9a%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e9%80%80%e5%87%ba%e5%b9%b4%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%ba%e9%81%87%e4%b8%8e%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"\/\/m.catawbaoil.com\/251099.html","title":{"rendered":"\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><span style=\"white-space:nowrap;\"><strong>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229 Morgan Stanley<\/strong><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u4e2d\u592e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u4f5c\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5c06\u6e10\u8fdb\u6709\u5e8f\u800c\u975e\u201c\u6025\u8f6c\u5f2f\u201d\u3002\u660e\u5e74\u793e\u4f1a\u878d\u8d44\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u6bd4<span>2020<\/span>\u5e74\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u6e29\u548c\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u57fa\u5efa\u4e0e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5728\u7a33\u5b9a\u6760\u6746\u7387\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6216\u589e\u957f\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46<span>2021<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u53ef\u80fd\u6765\u81ea<span>\u201c<\/span>\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7<span>\u201d<\/span>\u6539\u9769\u91ca\u653e\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u6709\u671b\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a5\u529b\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u8fce\u6765\u4e0b\u534a\u573a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u72b9\u5b58\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u4e3a\u75ab\u60c5\u53cd\u590d\u800c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5f70\u663e\u4e86\u5bf9\u56fd\u5185\u4f01\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5475\u62a4\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76d1\u7ba1\u6539\u9769\u4e0e\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f01\u521b\u65b0\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u95f4\u53d6\u5f97\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u770b\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u6613\u653e\u96be\u6536\uff0c\u5176\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765\uff0c\u4e5f\u503c\u5f97\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e9f\u9700\u4ee5\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a\u4f9d\u6258\u6df1\u5316\u63a8\u8fdb\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u56fd\u9645\u5316\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><strong>\u9006\u5468\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u7c7b\u4f3c<\/strong><span><strong>2017<\/strong><\/span><strong>\u5e74<\/strong><span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5185\u751f\u52a8\u80fd\u9010\u6b65\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u4e8e\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u4f55\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u9000\u51fa\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u751a\u56a3\u5c18\u4e0a\u3002\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u4e2d\u56fd\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u64a4\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u80cc\u666f\u7c7b\u4f3c<span>2017<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u62d6\u7d2f\u590d\u82cf\u6b65\u4f10\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u5e74\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u9006\u5468\u671f\u8c03\u8282\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u529b\u6c42\u5728\u4fdd\u589e\u957f\u548c\u63a7\u98ce\u9669\u4e4b\u95f4\u53d6\u5f97\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u82e5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u81ea\u8eab\u52a8\u80fd\u6216\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u5411\u597d\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u76d1\u7ba1\u4f1a\u9002\u65f6\u6536\u7d27\uff0c\u7740\u529b\u9632\u8303\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u91d1\u878d\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u968f\u7740\u56fd\u5185\u590d\u5de5\u590d\u4ea7\u987a\u5229\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u65e9\u5728\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u672b\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u6536\u94f6\u884c\u95f4\u8d85\u989d\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5c42\u5c31\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u9891\u7e41\u53d1\u58f0\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6267\u884c\u62a5\u544a\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u63d0<span>\u201c<\/span>\u628a\u597d\u8d27\u5e01\u4f9b\u5e94\u603b\u95f8\u95e8<span>\u201d<\/span>\uff0c\u5e76\u518d\u6b21\u5f3a\u8c03<span>\u201cM2<\/span>\u53ca\u793e\u878d\u589e\u901f\u4e0e\u540d\u4e49<span>GDP<\/span>\u589e\u901f\u57fa\u672c\u5339\u914d<span>\u201d<\/span>\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u793e\u878d\u589e\u901f\u5728<span>11<\/span>\u6708\u521d\u73b0\u89c1\u9876\u6001\u52bf\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u51b3\u7b56\u6e29\u548c\u9000\u51fa\u7684\u5e95\u6c14\u6765\u81ea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u52b2\u590d\u82cf\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u8d85\u8fc7\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u5f55\u5f97\u591a\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u9700\u6c42\u7aef\u5b9e\u9645\u793e\u96f6\u589e\u901f\u4ea6\u63a5\u8fd1\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\u9884\u8ba1\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6<span>GDP<\/span>\u5c06\u56de\u5230\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u901f\u6709\u671b\u8d85\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230<span>6.5%<\/span>\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5c55\u671b<span>2021<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u6d88\u8d39\u540c\u6b65\u590d\u82cf\u5c06\u62b5\u6d88\u57fa\u5efa\u548c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u5c06\u5b9e\u9645\u4ea7\u51fa\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u8f68\u8ff9\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u901f\u56e0\u4f4e\u57fa\u6570\u5c06\u89e6\u53ca<span>9%<\/span>\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u89d2\u5ea6\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u653f\u7b56\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u9000\u51fa\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u80cc\u666f\u7c7b\u4f3c<span>2017<\/span>\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c<span>2015-16<\/span>\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u7b56\u523a\u6fc0\u90e8\u5206\u4f20\u5bfc\u81f3\u5916\u90e8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5e76\u4fc3\u6210\u5168\u7403\u540c\u6b65\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u4ece<span>2016<\/span>\u5e74\u7684<span>-8%<\/span>\u53cd\u8f6c\u81f3<span>2017<\/span>\u5e74\u7684<span>+8%<\/span>\u3002\u4e58\u7740\u51fa\u53e3\u4e1c\u98ce\uff0c\u51b3\u7b56\u5c42\u5728\u5f53\u5e74\u542f\u52a8\u91d1\u878d\u53bb\u6760\u6746\uff0c\u4f46<span>GDP<\/span>\u589e\u901f\u4ecd\u7136\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u5468\u671f\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684<span>6.9%<\/span>\u3002\u5728<span>2021<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u53d7\u75ab\u82d7\u63d0\u632f\u540c\u6b65\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u6709\u671b\u7ef4\u6301\u5728<span>10%<\/span>\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u5185\u9700\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u4fe1\u8d37\u4f9d\u8d56\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u793e\u878d\u589e\u901f\u56de\u843d\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8ba9\u590d\u82cf\u52a8\u80fd\u621b\u7136\u800c\u6b62\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u56fe\u8868<span>1<\/span>\uff1a\u9006\u5468\u671f\u8c03\u63a7\uff1a\u4fdd\u6301\u6760\u6746\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u53ca\u9632\u8303\u91d1\u878d\u98ce\u9669<span> <\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chinacef.cn\/public\/editor\/attached\/image\/20201231\/20201231110934_98816.png\" width=\"600\" height=\"304\" alt=\"\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\" \/> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<span>CEIC<\/span>\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7814\u7a76\u90e8<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><strong>\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u548c\u5f71\u54cd<\/strong><span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u4f5c\u4f1a\u8bae\u6307\u51fa\u5b8f\u89c2\u653f\u7b56\u8981\u4fdd\u6301\u8fde\u7eed\u6027\uff0c\u4e0d\u6025\u8f6c\u5f2f\u3002\u8d22\u653f\u4fdd\u6301\u9002\u5ea6\u652f\u51fa\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3001\u66f4\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u800c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6cbf\u7528\u4e86\u201c\u4fdd\u6301\u8d27\u5e01\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u878d\u8d44\u89c4\u6a21\u589e\u901f\u540c\u540d\u4e49\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u57fa\u672c\u5339\u914d\u201d\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u6536\u7684\u8282\u594f\u6e29\u548c\u7075\u6d3b\uff0c\u4ecd\u5c06\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5e7f\u4e49\u4fe1\u8d37\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u4ece\u5f53\u524d\u7684<span>13.7%<\/span>\u56de\u843d\u81f3<span>11.5%<\/span>\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u75ab\u60c5\u524d<span>11%<\/span>\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u5b8f\u89c2\u6760\u6746\u7387\u5c06\u57fa\u672c\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728<span>297%<\/span>\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u4ece\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u8282\u594f\u770b\uff0c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u5c06\u5c0f\u5e45\u653e\u7f13\u81f3<span>13.3%<\/span>\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u8d77\u968f\u7740\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u7d27\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u9646\u7eed\u63a8\u51fa\uff0c\u56de\u843d\u5e45\u5ea6\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u663e\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u94f6\u884c\u8303\u56f4\u6269\u5927\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u4f53\u7cfb\u5c06\u538b\u964d\u4fe1\u8d37\u4f9b\u7ed9\u6765\u6ee1\u8db3\u66f4\u52a0\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u5145\u8db3\u7387\u8981\u6c42\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u7ef4\u6301\u8d44\u672c\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u5206\u6790\u56e2\u961f\u9884\u8ba1\u94f6\u884c\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u4ece\u4eca\u5e74\u7684<span>~10%<\/span>\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3\u660e\u5e74\u7684<span>~8%<\/span>\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u91d1\u878d\u6e05\u7406\u91cd\u56de\u6b63\u8f68\u548c\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u5c0f\u8d37\u76d1\u7ba1\uff0c\u5f71\u5b50\u94f6\u884c\u7aef\u7684\u4fe1\u8d37\u4f9b\u7ed9\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u901f\u6536\u7f29\uff1b\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4e13\u9879\u503a\u989d\u5ea6\u6536\u7f29\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u878d\u8d44\u653e\u7f13\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u201c\u7d27\u4fe1\u7528\u201d\u672a\u5fc5\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u201c\u5347\u5229\u7387\u201d\uff0c\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08<span>MLF<\/span>\u53ca<span>LPR<\/span>\uff09\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a<span>1<\/span>\uff09\u592e\u884c\u6709\u610f\u7ee7\u7eed\u7ef4\u6301\u4f01\u4e1a\u878d\u8d44\u6210\u672c\u7a33\u5b9a\uff1b<span>2<\/span>\uff09\u7531\u4e8e\u4ea7\u51fa\u7f3a\u53e3\u6536\u655b\u540e\u653f\u7b56\u9002\u65f6\u9000\u51fa\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c1a\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u8fc7\u70ed\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4ec5\u5448\u73b0\u6e29\u548c\u590d\u82cf\uff1b<span>3<\/span>\uff09\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5229\u5dee\u5df2\u7ecf\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u5e02\u573a\u5229\u7387\u539f\u5730\u8e0f\u6b65\u3002\u4fe1\u8d37\u4f9b\u5e94\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u4e4b\u540e\u4fe1\u8d37\u9700\u6c42\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u6709\u4e0a\u884c\u538b\u529b\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5229\u7387\uff08\u5982\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u968f\u7740\u6838\u5fc3<span>CPI<\/span>\u518d\u901a\u80c0\u800c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u4f46\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7a7a\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u8f83\u4e3a\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u957f\u7ebf\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e2d\u67a2\u5df2\u968f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6f5c\u5728\u589e\u901f\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6b65\u5165\u4e86\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u4e0b\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chinacef.cn\/public\/editor\/attached\/image\/20201231\/20201231111001_96964.png\" width=\"600\" alt=\"\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\" \/> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u4fe1\u8d37\u5408\u7406\u589e\u957f\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u98ce\u9669\u9632\u63a7\u5e38\u6001\u5316\u7684\u5e94\u6709\u4e4b\u4e49\u3002\u81ea<span>2016<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4e0e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u71a8\u5e73\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd8\u66f4\u91cd\u89c6\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce1\u6cab\u548c\u5b8f\u89c2\u6760\u6746\u7387\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5371\u5bb3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5267\u8d2b\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u6269\u5927\u3001\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\u4ee5\u53ca\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u7b49\u3002\u8b6c\u5982\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u7ef4\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9<span>\u201c<\/span>\u7d27\u5e73\u8861<span>\u201d<\/span>\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u904f\u5236\u571f\u5730\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce1\u6cab\u3001\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u7559\u4f4f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u76f8\u5173\u516c\u5171\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u6548\u7387\u4e5f\u4f1a\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6291\u5236\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u52a1\u98ce\u9669\u5e76\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5176\u8d44\u4ea7\u4f18\u5316\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u653f\u7b56\u652f\u6301\u548c\u589e\u957f\u5185\u751f\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u6b64\u6d88\u5f7c\u957f\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u51e0\u4f55\uff1f\u6743\u76ca\u5e02\u573a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4f30\u503c\u66f4\u4e3a\u8c28\u614e\u3002\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u90e8\u95e8\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u8dd1\u8d62\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1<span>2021<\/span>\u5e74<span>MSCI<\/span>\u660e\u665f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u6709<span>~10%<\/span>\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u4e0a\u6da8\u52a8\u529b\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u76c8\u5229\u4fee\u590d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4f30\u503c\uff1a\u968f\u7740\u8d85\u989d\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff08\u72ed\u4e49\u8d27\u5e01\u6263\u9664\u4f01\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u7ecf\u8425\u6240\u9700\u6d41\u52a8\u8d44\u91d1\uff09\u9010\u6b65\u9000\u6f6e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u6599\u5c06\u6709\u6240\u56de\u64a4\u3002\u884c\u4e1a\u914d\u7f6e\u4e0a\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u548c\u57fa\u5efa\u7b49\u65e9\u5468\u671f\u884c\u4e1a\u5c06\u8ba9\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u53ca\u7ebf\u4e0b\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u800c\u8d44\u672c\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u5bff\u9669\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u884c\u4e1a\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u6c47\u7387\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u5c0f\u5e45\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u6237\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5065\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5438\u5f15\u5883\u5916\u8bc1\u5238\u6295\u8d44\u51c0\u6d41\u5165\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u56fe\u8868<span>2<\/span>\uff1a<span>2025<\/span>\u4e94\u5e74\u89c4\u5212\u53ca<span>2035<\/span>\u8fdc\u666f\u76ee\u6807<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chinacef.cn\/public\/editor\/attached\/image\/20201231\/20201231111010_34225.png\" width=\"600\" alt=\"\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\" \/> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u65b0\u534e\u793e\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7814\u7a76\u90e8<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><strong>\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7\u7ba1\u7406\u6253\u901a\u201c\u53cc\u5faa\u73af\u201d<\/strong><span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u9762\u5bf9\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u201c\u4ee5\u56fd\u5185\u5927\u5faa\u73af\u4e3a\u4e3b\u4f53\u3001\u56fd\u5185\u56fd\u9645\u53cc\u5faa\u73af\u76f8\u4e92\u4fc3\u8fdb\u201d\u7684\u6218\u7565\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u529b\u6c42\u505a\u5927\u505a\u6d3b\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u7ee7\u7eed\u575a\u6301\u5f00\u653e\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u6301\u7eed\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5341\u56db\u4e94\u5f00\u5c40\u4e4b\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u4f5c\u4f1a\u8bae\u9488\u5bf9\u201c\u53cc\u5faa\u73af\u201d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5177\u4f53\u4efb\u52a1\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u5185\u9700\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u6307\u51fa\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u4f18\u5316\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u3001\u5e73\u7b49\u5316\u793e\u4fdd\u8986\u76d6\u7b49\u624b\u6bb5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8981\u6709\u5e8f\u64a4\u9500\u4e00\u4e9b\u884c\u653f\u6027\u9650\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5305\u62ec\u6c7d\u8f66\u9650\u8d2d\u3001\u8de8\u533a\u57df\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u6d88\u8d39\u7b49\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u63d0\u51fa\u5b8c\u5584\u804c\u4e1a\u6280\u672f\u6559\u80b2\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5bf9\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u6240\u62ac\u5934\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5c31\u4e1a\u538b\u529b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u5e94\uff1b\u800c\u63d0\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u533b\u7597\u3001\u517b\u8001\u3001\u80b2\u5e7c\u7b49\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u652f\u51fa\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u82e5\u6210\u529f\u6267\u884c\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u7f13\u89e3\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u540e\u987e\u4e4b\u5fe7\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u5c42\u9762\u5219\u5f3a\u8c03\u5916\u6ea2\u6027\u5f3a\u7684\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u65b0\u57fa\u5efa\u3001\u65e7\u57ce\u6539\u9020\u3001\u73b0\u4ee3\u7269\u6d41\u4f53\u7cfb\u7b49\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u4ee5\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a\u4f9d\u6258\uff0c\u51b3\u7b56\u5c42\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u63a8\u8fdb\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d44\u4ea7\u56fd\u9645\u5316\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u6781\u5316\u4e16\u754c\u7ef4\u6301\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u3001\u7ba1\u63a7\u878d\u8d44\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u653e\u5bbd\u5e02\u573a\u51c6\u5165\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u77e5\u8bc6\u4ea7\u6743\u3001\u4f18\u5316\u8425\u5546\u73af\u5883\u5438\u5f15\u56fd\u9645\u4f01\u4e1a\u201c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u201d\uff0c\u7559\u4f4f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\uff1b\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5065\u5168\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u6cd5\u6cbb\uff0c\u5b8c\u5584\u6743\u76ca\u5e02\u573a\u9000\u5e02\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u4e25\u6253\u4fe1\u7528\u503a\u201c\u9003\u5e9f\u503a\u201d\uff0c\u4e3a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d44\u4ea7\u56fd\u9645\u5316\u6dfb\u7816\u52a0\u74e6\uff1b\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u63d0\u51fa\u79ef\u6781\u8003\u8651\u52a0\u5165\u300a\u5168\u9762\u4e0e\u8fdb\u6b65\u8de8\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5feb\u591a\u8fb9\u3001\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u5b9a\u7684\u8c08\u5224\uff08\u5982\u4e2d\u65e5\u97e9\u81ea\u8d38\u534f\u5b9a\u3001\u4e2d\u6b27\u53cc\u8fb9\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u5b9a\u7b49<span>)<\/span>\uff0c\u62b5\u5fa1\u9006\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u7136\u800c<span>2021<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u56e0\u75ab\u60c5\u53cd\u590d\u800c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u4f9d\u65e7\u5145\u6ee1\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5916\u90e8\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5f70\u663e\u4e86\u5bf9\u56fd\u5185\u4f01\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5475\u62a4\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u6539\u9769\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5168\u7403\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u76d1\u7ba1\u5927\u52bf\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u5728\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f01\u521b\u65b0\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e4b\u95f4\u53d6\u5f97\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u907f\u514d<span>2018<\/span>\u5e74\u591a\u79cd\u56e0\u7d20\u4ea4\u7ec7\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3001\u6c11\u4f01\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5feb\u901f\u56de\u843d\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u770b\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u8d22\u653f\u8d27\u5e01\u53cc\u7ba1\u9f50\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e14\u523a\u6fc0\u529b\u5ea6\u6613\u653e\u96be\u6536\uff0c\u5176\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u503c\u5f97\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u89c6\u3002\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5e95\u8fbe\u5230<span>2%<\/span>\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u5176\u4ee5\u66f4\u65e9\u3001\u4ee5\u66f4\u8fc5\u731b\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u8d85\u8d8a<span>2.5%<\/span>\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u63d0\u524d\u7d27\u7f29\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u878d\u8d44\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e9f\u9700\u4ee5\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a\u4f9d\u6258\u6df1\u5316\u63a8\u8fdb\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u56fd\u9645\u5316\u3002<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u56fe\u8868<span>3<\/span>\uff1a\u4e0e\u8fc7\u5f80\u5468\u671f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u672c\u8f6e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u66f4\u5feb\u56de\u5347<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chinacef.cn\/public\/editor\/attached\/image\/20201231\/20201231111028_13797.png\" width=\"600\" alt=\"\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\" \/><br \/> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\">\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<span>CEIC<\/span>\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7814\u7a76\u90e8<span><\/span><\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:24.0pt;\"> <span style=\"font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;\"><\/span> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229 Morgan Stanley \u4e2d\u592e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u4f5c\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5c06\u6e10\u8fdb\u6709\u5e8f\u800c\u975e\u201c\u6025\u8f6c\u5f2f\u201d\u3002...<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link-wrap\"><a href=\"\/\/m.catawbaoil.com\/251099.html\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &ldquo;\u90a2\u81ea\u5f3a\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u9000\u51fa\u5e74\u7684\u673a\u9047\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669&rdquo;<\/span> 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